1. I. E. Sternglass,
(McGraw-Hill,
New York, 1981).
2. J. W. Gofman,
(Sierra Club Press, San Francisco, 1981).
3.
H. Caldicott,
(Bantam, New
York, 1981).
*Millirad is the unit of physical
radiation exposure, as indicated by this definition, whereas millirem includes
a correction for biological effectiveness. For X-rays, beta rays, and gamma
rays, 1 millirad is equal to 1 millirem, but
for alpha particles, 1 ruillirad is equal to 20 millirems.
1. P Nulty, "Get
Ready for Power Brownouts,"
June 5, 1989.
2. U.S. Council for Energy Awareness, "USCEA
1988 International Reactor Survey" (1989).
3. Dept.
of Energy/Energy Information Agency, Monthly Energy Review (March 1989).
l. National Academy of
Sciences Committee on Carbon Dioxide Assessment, "Changing Climate,"
National Academy Press, 1983.
2. "The Greenhouse
Effect: How It Can Change Our Lives,"
15, No. 1 (1989).
3. National Academy of Sciences,
Acid Deposition. Long Term Trends
(National Academy Press, 1986).
4. Science News, 136,
56 (July 22, 1989).
5. U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, "Trends in the Quality of the Nation's Air"
(1988).
6. R. Wilson, S. D. Colome, J. D. Spengler, and D. G. Wilson,
(Ballinger Publishing Co.,
Cambridge, 1980).
7. W Winkelstein
et al."The Relationship of Air
Pollution and Economic Status to Total Mortality and Selected Respiratory
System Mortality for Men,"
Archives of Environmental Health 14,
162 (1967).
8. For list of references, see B. L. Cohen,
Before
It's Too Late
(Plenum
Publishing, 1983) p. 114, ref. 30.
9. For list of references, see B. L. Cohen,
Before Its Too Late
(Plenum Publishing, 1983) p.
115, ref. 31.
10. U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, "Air Quality Criteria for Particulate Matter and Sulfur
Oxides" (1981); "Air Quality Criteria for Oxides of Nitrogen"
(1980); "Health Assessment Document for Polycyclic Organic Matter,"
EPA 600/9-7-008 (1979); "Health Assessment Document for Arsenic"
1980; "Air Quality Criteria for Lead" (1977).
11. H. Ozkaynak and J. C. Spengler, "Analysis of Health
Effects Resulting from Population Exposure to Acid Precipitation,"
Environmental
Health Perspective, 63,
45 (1985). This paper concludes that 6% of all deaths in
the United States are due to air pollution. However, in private conversations
with the authors, they now consider 2-5% to be a better estimate. If the U.S.
population were in age equilibrium, there would be about 3 million deaths per
year, which means that 60,000-150,000 deaths per year would be from air
pollution. For simplicity we take a single intermediate value, 100,000.
12. J. M. Fowler,
Energy and the Environment
(McGraw-Hill, New York, 1984).
13. B. L. Cohen, "Perspective on Occupational
Mortality Risks,"
Health Phys. 40,
703 (1981).
14. "The Politics of Climate,"
EPRI
Journal,
June
1988, p. 4.
CHAPTER 4
I. S. Rothman and S. R.
Lichter, "The Nuclear Energy Debate: Scientists, the Media, and the
Public," Public
Opinion,
August 1982, p. 47.
CHAPTER 5
S. Novick,
The Careless Atom
(Dell Publishing, New York, 1969), p. 105.
See Chapter 5 Appendix.
3. National Council on
Radiation Protection and Measurements (NCRP), "Natural Background
Radiation in the United States," NCRP Report No. 45 (1975).
4. "Report of the President's Commission on The
Accident at Three Mile Island," Washington, D.C. (1979); "Three Mile
Island, A Report to the Commissioners and to the Public," Nuclear
Regulatory Commission Special Inquiry Group; Ad Hoc Interagency Dose Assessment
Group, "Population Dose and Health Impact of the Accident at the Three
Mile Island Nuclear Station," Nuclear Regulatory Commission Document
NUREG-0558 (1979). Early assessment gave an average dose of 1.7 mrem, but later
revisions reduced this to 1.2 mrem.
5. James Hardin (Kentucky Department of Human Resources),
private communication. He was in charge of environmental monitoring in the
area.
6.
Philadelphia
Evening Bulletin
(May 6, 7, 8, 1979).
7. Private communication with health physicists from the
Ginna plant.
8. L. Garfinkel, C. E. Poindexter, and E. Silverberg,
"Cancer Statistics-1980," American Cancer Society (1981).
9.
United Nations Scientific Committee on Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR),
"Sources and Effects of Ionizing Radiation," United Nations, New York
(1977).
10. National Council on
Radiation Protection and Measurements, Radiation Exposure from Consumer
Products and Miscellaneous Sources, NCRP Report No. 56, Washington, D.C.
(1977).
11. National Academy of
Sciences Committee on Biological Effects of Ionizing Radiation, "Health
Effects of Exposures to Low Levels of Ionizing Radiation" (BEIR-V),
Washington, D.C. (1990). Note discussion in Chapter 5 on how we correct for low
dose rate.
12. United Nations Scientific
Committee on Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR), "Sources, Effects,
and Risks of Ionizing Radiation," United Nations, New York (1988).
13. B. L. Cohen and I. S. Lee,
"A Catalog of Risks,"
Health Physics, 36,
707 (1979).
14. National Academy of Sciences Committee on Biological Effects
of Ionizing Radiation, "Health Risks of Radon and Other Internally
Deposited AlphaEmitters," Washington, D.C., 1988.
15. U.S. National Council on
Radiation Protection and Measurements (NCRP), "Evaluation of Occupational
and Environmental Exposures to Radon and Radon Daughters in the United
States," NCRP Report No. 78 (1984).
16. International Commission
on Radiological Protection (ICRP),
Risk from Indoor Exposure of Radon Daughters,
ICRP Publication No. 50
(Pergamon Press, Oxford, 1987).
17. National Academy of
Sciences Committee on Biological Effects of Ionizing Radiation (BEIR),
"The Effects on Populations of Exposure to Low Levels of Ionizing
18. B. L. Cohen,
"Alternatives to the BEIR Relative Risk Model for Explaining A-Bomb
Survivor Cancer Mortality,"
Health
Physics 52, 55
(1987).
19. U.S. National Council on
Radiation Protection and Measurements (NCRP), "Influence of Dose and Its
Distribution in Time on Dose-Response Relationships for Low LET
Radiation," NCRP Report No. 64 (1980).
20. R. Garrison, U.S.
Department of Energy, private communication, on transport accidents. Estimates
for others from various sources of information.
21. C. C. Lushbaugh, S. A.
Fry, C. E Hubner and R. C. Risks, "Total-Body Irradiation: A Historical
Review and Follow-up," in C. E Hubner and S. A. Fry (eds.),
The Medical Basis for Radiation Accident
Preparedness (Elsevier-North
Holland, Amsterdam, 1980).
22. T. E Mancuso, A. Stewart,
and G. Kneale,
Health Physics, 33,
369 (1977).
23. E.S. Gilbert, Batelle Pacific Northwest Laboratory Document
PNL-SA-6341 (1978); G.B. Hutchison, B. MacMahon,
S. Jablon, C. E. Land,
Health
Physics, 37, 207
(1979); U.S. General Accounting Office, "Problems in Assessing the Cancer
Risks of Low-Level Ionizing Radiation Exposure," Report EMD-81,
Washington, D.C. (1981); J. A. Reissland, "An assessment of the Mancuso
study," Publication NRPB-79, U.K. National Radiological Protection Board,
Didcot, Berk. (1978); T. W. Anderson,
Health Physics, 35, 743 (1978); A. Brodsky, testimony before the Subcommittee on Health
and the Environment, U.S. House of Representatives, Washington, D.C., 8
February 1978; B. L. Cohen,
Health
Physics, 35, 582
(1978); S. M. Gertz, ibid., 35, 723 (1978); E. S. Gilbert, "Methods of
Analyzing Mortality of Workers Exposed to Low Levels of Ionizing Radiation,"
Report BNWL-SA-634, Battelle Pacific Northwest Laboratory, Richland,
Washington (May 1977); E. Gilbert and S. Marks,
Health Physics, 37, 791 (1979); ibid., 40, 125 (1981); J. W Gofman, ibid, 37, 617 (1979);
D. J. Kleitman, "Critique of Mancuso-Stewart-Kneale Report" (prepared
for the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, D.C., 1978); S. Marks,
E. S. Gilbert, and B. D. Breitenstein, "Cancer mortality in Hanford
workers," Document IAEA-SM-224, International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna
(1978); R. Mole,
Lancet, i, 582 (1978); "Staff
Committee Report of November 1976," Nuclear Regulatory Commission,
Washington, D.C. (1976); "Staff Committee Report of May 1978,"
Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, D.C. (1978); "The Windscale
Inquiry," Her Majesty's Stationery Office, London (1978); D. Rubenstein,
"Report to the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission," Nuclear
Regulatory Commission, Washington, D.C. (1978); L. A. Sagan, "Low-Level
Radiation Effects: The Mancuso Study," Electric Power Research Institute,
Palo Alto, California (1978); B. S. Sanders,
Health Physics, 34, 521 (1978); F W Spiers, ibid.,
37, 784
(1979); G. W. C. Tait, ibid.,
37, 251 (1979).
24. The Media Institute,
"Television Evening News Covers Nuclear Energy," Washington, D.C.
(1979).
25. B. L. Cohen,
"Perspective on Genetic Effects of Radiation,"
Health Physics, 46, 1113 (1984).
26. E. B. Hook, "Rates of
Chromosome Abnormalities at Different Maternal Ages,"
Obstetrics and Gynecology 58, 282 (1981).
27. J. M. Friedman,
"Genetic Disease in the Offspring of Older Fathers,"
Obstetrics and Gynecology, 57, 745 (1981).
28. International Commission
on Radiological Protection (ICRP),
Recommendations
of the International Connnission on Radiological Protection, ICRP Publication No. 26
(Pergamon Press, Oxford, 1977).
29. R. J. Lewis (ed.),
"Registry of Toxic Effects of Chemical Substances," U.S. Public
Health Service, November (1981) (available by computer access). L. Fishbein, in
Chentical Mutagen,s, Vol. 4, A. Hollaender (ed.)
(Plenum, New York, 1976) pp. 219ff.
30. K. Sax and H. J. Sax,
"Radiomimetric Beverages, Drugs, and Mutagens,"
Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences, 55, 1431
(1966).
31. L. Ehrenberg, G. von
Ehrenstein, and A. Hedgram, "Gonad Temperature and Spontaneous Mutation
Rate in Man,"
Nature, December 2, 1433 (1957).
32. U.S. Department of HEW,
"Antenatal Diagnosis," National Institutes of Health Publication No.
79-1973 (1979).
33. G. W. Beebe, H. Kato, and
C. E. Land, "Mortality Experience of Atomic Bomb Survivors 1950-1974,"
Radiation Effects Research Foundation Technical Report RERF TR 1-77 (1977). The
data for Hiroshima and Nagasaki were added here.
34. National Council on
Radiation Protection and Measurements (NCRP), "Review of NCRP Radiation
Dose Limit for Embryo and Fetus in Occupationally Exposed Women," NCRP
Report No. 53 (1977).
CHAPTER 6
1. "Report of the President's Commission on The Accident at Three
Mile Island," J. B. Kemeny (Chairman), Washington, D.C., October (1979).
2. M.
Rogovin (Director), "Three Mile Island, A Report to the Commissioners and
to the Public," Washington, D.C., January (1980).
3. J. R. Lamarsh,
Introduction to Nuclear Engineering (Addison-Wesley, Reading,
Massachusetts, 1975); S. Glasstone and W. H. Jordan,
Nuclear Power and its Environmental Effects (American Nuclear Society, La
Grange Park, Ill., 1980).
4. G.
Masche, "Systems Summary of a Westinghouse Pressurized Water Reactor
Nuclear Power Plant," Westinghouse Electric Co. (1971).
5. S.
Hoffman and T Moore, "General Description of a Boiling Water
Reactor," General Electric Co. (1976).
6.
"American National Standards for Decay Heat Power in Light Water
Reactors," American National Standards Institute ANSI/ANS-5. 1-1979.
7.
"Reactor Safety Study," Nuclear Regulatory Commission Document WASH-1400,
NUREG 75/014 (1975).
8.
"Analysis of Three Mile Island Unit 2 Accident," Nuclear Safety
Analysis Center Report NSAC-1, Palo Alto, California (July 1979);
"Nuclear Accident and
Recovery
at Three Mile Island," Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works,
Serial No. 96-14 (July 1980); "Investigation of the March 28, 1979 Three
Mile Island Accident," U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Document
NUREG-0600 (August 1979); Three Mile Island: The Most Studied Nuclear Accident
in History," Report to the Congress by the Comptroller-General, U.S.
General Accounting Office Report EMD-80-109 (September 9, 1980).
9.
Report of the Special Review Group, "Lessons Learned from Three Mile Island,"
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Document NUREG-0616 (December 1979).
10.
"The Safety of Nuclear Power Plants and Related Facilities," U.S. AEC
Report WASH-1250 (July 1973).
11.
B. L. Cohen, "Physics of the Reactor Melt-down Accident,"
Nuclear
Science and Engineering, 80,
47 (1982).
12.
R. Gillette, "Nuclear Reactor Safety,"
Science,
176, 492 (5 May 1972);177,
771, l Sept; 177, 867, 8 Sept; 177, 970, 15 Sept; 177, 1080 (22 September
1972).
13. I. Forbes, J. MacKenzie, D. E Ford, and
H. W. Kendall, "Cooling Water,"
Environment
(January 1972), p. 40; D. E
Ford and H. W. Kendall, "Nuclear Safety,"
Environment,
(September 1972).
14. M. L. Russel, C. W.
Solbrig, and G. D. McPherson, "LOFT Contribution to Nuclear Power Reactor
Safety and PWR Fuel Behavior,"
Proceedings, the American Power Conference, 41,
196 (1979); J. C. Lin,
"Post Test-Analysis of LOFT Loss of Coolant Experiment L2-3,"
EG&G Idaho Report EGG-LOFT5075 (1980); J. P Adams, "Quick Look Report
on LOFT Nuclear Experiment L2-5," EG&G Idaho Report EGG-LOFT-5921
(1982).
15. W Marshall (Chairman of
Study Group), "An Assessment of the Integrity of PWR Pressure
Vessels," U.K. Atomic Energy Authority (March 1982).
16.
W. A. Carbiener
et al.,"Physical Processes in Reactor Meltdown
Accidents," Appendix VIII to Nuclear Regulatory Commission Document
WASH-1400 (1975).
17. "Severe Accident Risks: An Assessment for Five
U.S. Nuclear Power Plants," U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Doc.
NUREG-1150 (1989).
18. W. R. Butler, C. G. Tinkler, and L. S. Rubinstein,
"Regulatory Perspective on Hydrogen Control for LWR Plants, "Workshop
on Impact of Hydrogen on Water Reactor Safety, Albuquerque, New Mexico (January
1981); W. R. Butler and C. G. Tinkler, "Regulatory Perspective on Hydrogen
Control for Degraded Core Accidents," Second International Workshop on the
Impact of Hydrogen on Water Reactor Safety, Albuquerque, New Mexico (1982).
19. "Hydrogen Control for Sequoyah Nuclear
Plant," Nuclear Regulatory Commission Document dated August 13, 1980.
20. "Proposed Interim
Hydrogen Control Requirements for Small Containments," Memorandum from H.
Denton to The NRC commissioners dated February 22, 1980, NRC Document SECY
80-107.
21. Union of Concerned
Scientists, "The Risks of Nuclear Power Reactors," Cambridge,
Massachusetts (1977).
22. H. W. Lewis (Chairman),
"Risk Assessment Review Group Report to the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory
Commission," NUREG/CR-400 (1978).
23. E J. Rahn and M. Levenson,
"Radioactivity Releases Following Class-9 Reactor Accidents," Health
Physics Society, Las Vegas, Nevada (June 1982); C. D. Wilkinson, "NSAC
Workshop on Reactor Accident Iodine Release," Palo Alto,
California
(July 1980); H. A. Morewitz, "Fission Product and Aerosol Behavior
Following Degraded Core Accidents,"
Nuclear Technology, 53,
120 (1981).
24. R. Wilson, S. D. Colome,
J. D. Spengler, and D. G. Wilson,
Health Effects of Fossil Fuel Burning.
(Ballinger, Cambridge,
Massachusetts, 1980).
25. International Symposium on
Areas of High Natural Radioactivity, Academy of Sciences of Brazil (June 1975).
26. W. Ramsay,
The Unpaid
Costs of Electrical Energy
(Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore, Maryland,
1979).
27. "Draft NRC Evaluation of Pressurized Thermal Shock" (September 13, 1982); T A. Meyer,
"Summary Report on Reactor Vessel Integrity for Westinghouse Operating Plants," Westinghouse Electric Corp. Report WCAP-10019 (December 1981); "Summary of Evaluations Related to Reactor Vessel Integrity Performed
for the Westinghouse Owner's Group," Westinghouse Electric Corp., Nuclear
Technology Division (May 1982).
28. M. L. Wald, "Steel
Turned Brittle by Radiation Called a Peril at 13 Nuclear Plants,"
New York Times
(September 27, 1981).
29. R. Immel, "Stress
Corrosion Cracking,"
EPRI Journal
(November 1981).
30. "Steam Generator Tube
Experience," U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Document NUREG-0886
(1982).
31. "Report on the
January 25, 1982 Steam Generator Tube Rupture at the R.E. Ginna Nuclear Power
Plant," NRC Document NUREG-0909 (April 1982).
CHAPTER 7
1. B. L. Cohen, "The
Nuclear Reactor Accident at Chernobyl, USSR,"
American Journal of Physics, 55,
1076 (1987).
2. Soviet Report on the Chernobyl Accident, English
Translation: U.S. Dept. of Energy, Washington, D.C. (August 1986).
3. United Nations Scientific Committee on Effects of
Atomic Radiation, "Sources, Effects, and Risks of Ionizing
Radiation," New York (1988).
CHAPTER 8
1. B. L. Cohen and I. S. Lee, "A Catalog of Risks,"
Health
Physics, 36,
707
(1979). Numerous references are given to original sources of information.
2.
Chap. 3, ref. 11.
3. U.S. National Academy of
Sciences Committee on Biological Effects of Ionizing Radiation, "Health
Risks of Radon and Other Internally Deposited Alpha Emitters," (BEIR IV),
Washington, D.C. (1988).
4. B. L. Cohen,
"Perspective on Occupational Risks,"
Health Physics,
40, 703(1981).
5. National Center for Health
Statistics,
Monthly Vital Statistics Reports, 36,
5 (Supplement)(1987).
6. B.
L. Cohen, "Catalog of Risks Extended," to be published by Task Force
on Risk Analysis, American Association of Engineering Societies (1990).
7. World Resources Institute,
World Resources
1987
(Basic
Books, New York, 1987).
8. C. L. Comar and L. A.
Sagan, "Health Effects of Energy Production and Conversion,"
Annual
Review of Energy, 1,
581 (1976); L. B. Lave and L. C. Freeburg, "Health Effects of
Electricity Generation from Coal, Oil, and Nuclear Fuel,"
Nuclear
Safety,
14(5),
409, (1973); S. M. Barrager, B. R. Judd, and D. W. North, "The Economic
and Social Costs of Coal and Nuclear Electric Generation," Stanford
Research Institute Report (March 1976); Nuclear Energy Policy Study Group,
Nuclear
Power-Issues and Choices
(Ballinger, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 1977); National
Academy of Sciences Committee on Nuclear and Alternative Energy Systems,
Energy in
Transition,
1985-2010
(W. H. Freeman, San Francisco, 1980); American Medical Association Council on
Scientific Affairs, "Health Evaluation of Energy Generating
Sources,"
Journal of the American Medical Association,
240, 2193 (1978); H. Inhaber,
"Risk of Energy Production," Atomic Energy Control Board Report
AECB-1119, Ottawa (1978); R. L. Gotchy, "Health Effects Attributable to
Coal and Nuclear Fuel Cycle Alternatives," U.S. Nuclear Regulatory
Commission Document NUREG-0332 (1977); D. J. Rose, P W. Walsh, and L. L.
Leskovjan, "Nuclear Power-Compared to What?"
American
Scientist,
64,
291 (1976); Union of Concerned Scientists, "The Risks of Nuclear Power
Reactors," H. Kendall (Director), Cambridge, Massachusetts (1977); Science
Advisory Office, State of Maryland, "Coal and Nuclear Power" (1980);
Norwegian Ministry of Oil and Energy, "Nuclear Power and Safety"
(1978); Ohio River Basin Energy Study (EPA), "Impacts on Human Health from
Coal and Nuclear Fuel Cycles" (July 1980); United Kingdom Health and
Safety Executive, "Comparative Risks of Electricity Production
Systems" (1980); Maryland Power Plant Siting Program, "Power Plant
Cumulative Environmental Impact Report," PPSP-CEIR-1 (1975); W. Ramsay,
UnPaid
Costs of Electrical Energy
(Johns Hopkins Univ. Press, Baltimore, Maryland, 1979);
Legislative Office of Science Advisor, State of Michigan, "Coal and
Nuclear Power" (1980); B. L. Cohen,
American Scientist,
64, 291 (1976); R. Wilson and
W. J. Jones,
Energy, Ecology, and the Environment
(Academic Press, New York,
1974); H. Fischer
et al., "Comparative Effects of Different Energy Technologies,"
Brookhaven National Lab Report BNL 51491 (September 1981); D. K. Myers and H.
B. Newcombe, "Health Effects of Energy Development," Atomic Energy of
Canada Ltd. Report AECL-6678 (1980); B.L. Cohen,
Befbre It's Too Late
(Plenum, New York, 1983); American
Medical Association Council on Scientific Affairs, "Medical Perspective on
Nuclear Power" (1989).
9. B. L. Cohen, Long-Term Consequences of the Linear-No
Threshold Dose-Response Relationship for Chemical Carcinogens,
Risk
Analysis 1,
267
(1981).
10. B. L. Cohen, "Society's Valuation of Life
Saving,"
Health Physics. 38,
33(1980). Numerous references
to original sources of information are included.
11. B. L. Cohen,
"Reducing the Hazards of Nuclear Power: Insanity in Action,"
Physics
and Society,
16,
3, 29(1987).
12. B. L. Cohen, "Cost Effectiveness of Reducing Radon Levels in Homes,"
Journal of Nuclear Medicine, 29, 268(1988).
1. United Engineers and
Constructors, Inc., "Phase IX Update (1987) Report for the Energy Economic
Data Base Program" (July 1988). Also, "Phase x Update Report"
(September 1989).
2. A.
Reynolds, "Cost of Coal vs. Nuclear in Electric Power Generation,"
U.S. Energy Information Administration Document (1982).
3. W.
W Brandfon. "The Economics of Nuclear Power," American Ceramic Society,
Cincinnati (1982).
4. 1.
Spiewak and D. E Cope, "Overview Paper on Nuclear Power," Oak Ridge
National Laboratory Report ORNL/TM-7425.
5. J. H. Crowley, "Nuclear Energy-What's Next,"
Atomic-Industrial Forum Workshop on the Electric Imperative, Monterey, CA
(1981).
6.
Long Island Lighting Company. "The Shoreham Nuclear Power Plant: An Overview"
(1982).
7. M. R. Copulos,
Confrontation at Seabrook,
The Heritage Foundation
(1978).
CHAPTER 10
l. J.
J. Taylor, "Improved and Safer Nuclear Power"
Science,
244, 318(April 21, 1989).
2. J.
J. Taylor, K. E. Stahlkopf, D. M. Noble, and G. J. Dau, "LWR Development
in the U.S.A.,-
Nuclear Engineering and Design
109, 19 (1988).
3. J.
Catron, "New Interest in Passive Reactor Designs,"
EPRI
Journal, 14.
3,
4 (April 1989).
4. R.
Livingston, "The Next Generation," Nuclear Industry (July 1988).
5. K. E. Stahlkopf, J. C.
DeVine, and W. R. Sugnet, "U.S. ALWR Programme Sets Out Utility
Requirements for the Future,"
Nuclear Engineering International
(November 1988), p. l6.
6. R. Vijuk and H. Bruschi, "AP-600 Offers a Simpler
Way to Greater Safety, Operability, and Maintainability,"
Nuclear Engineering International
(November 1988), p. 22.
7. K. Hannerz, "Applying PIUS to Power
Generation,"
Nuclear Engineering International
(December 1983).
8. K. Hannerz, "Making Progress on PIUS Design and
Verification,"
Nuclear Engineering International
(November 1988), p. 29.
9. "Nuclear Power: The New Generation,"
IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency)
Bulletin, 331,
No. 3(entire issue) (1989).
10. Edison Electric Institute, Statistical Yearbook of the
Electrical Utility Industry, 1981.
11.
U.S. Energy Information Agency, "Historical Plant Cost and Annual
Production Expenses for Selected Electricity Generating Plants," DOE/EIA-0455
(1987).
12. U.S. Department of Energy, "Nuclear
Energy Cost Data Base," DOE/NE-0095 (September 1988).
13. Study Group of the
Committee on Financial Considerations, "A Comparison of the Future Costs
of Nuclear and Coal-Fired Electricity, An Update," U.S. Council for
Energy Awareness (1987).
14.
Nuclear- News
(July 1982), p. 48.
CHAPTER 11
1. R.
Wilson, S. D. Colome, J. D. Spengler, and D. G. Wilson,
Health
Effects of Fossil Fuel Burning
(Ballinger, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 1980).
2. A.
G. Croff and C. W. Alexander, "Decay Characteristics of Once-Through LWR
and LMFBR Spent Fuels, High Level Wastes, and Fuel Assembly Structural
Materials Wastes," Oak Ridge National Laboratory Report ORNL/ TM-7431
(1980).
3.
Reference 1 gives the risk from sulfur dioxide (S02) as 3.5 x 10-5/year
for 1 microgram SO, per meter3 of air. An average person inhales
7,000 meters3 of air per year, so this corresponds to inhaling 7,000
micrograms, or 0.007g, of SO2. The deaths per gram of SO, are then
(3.5 x 10-5/0.007 =) 0.005. An average coal-burning plant produces
3 x 1Osg of SO, per day; this could then cause (3 x 109 x 0.005 =)
1.5 million deaths if it were all inhaled by people.
4.
See Figure 1 (Chapter 11), which gives the effects from eating all the waste
produced in one year. This number must be divided by the number of days per
year to obtain the effects from one day.
5. B.
L. Cohen, "Ocean Dumping of Radioactive Waste,"
Nuclear
Technology, 47,
163 (1980). Some of the numbers quoted in that paper have been changed
due to later data, but these are incorporated into the results quoted here.
6.
"Air Quality Criteria for Particulate Matter and Sulfur Oxides," U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency (February 1981); "Air Quality Criteria
for Oxides of Nitrogen," U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Report (June
1980).
7.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Health Assessment Document for Polycyclic
Organic Matter, Report EPA-600/9-79-008 (1979).
8. B.
L. Cohen, "Risk Analysis of Buried Waste from Electricity
Generation,"
American Journal of Physics, 54,
38 (1986). This contains
references to the original papers on which many of the analyses here are based.
9.
These are reviewed by C. M. Koplik, M. E Kaplan, and B. Ross, "The Safety
of Repositories for Highly Radioactive Waste,"
RevieK's of Modern Physics, 54,
269 (1982); Interagency Review
Group, Report to the President, U.S. Department of Energy Report TID-29442
(1978).
10.
B. L. Cohen, "Probability for Human Intake of an Atom Randomly Released
into the Ground, Rivers, Oceans, and Air,"
Health Physics, 47,
281 (1984).
11.
B. L. Cohen. "High Level Waste from Light Water Reactors,"
Revie~rs
of Modern Physics, 49, 1
(1977); The plans for waste burial have changed somewhat
since that time, including a threefold dilution of the waste in glass. This is
taken into account in the numbers given here.
12.
J. A. Reuppen, M. A. Molecke, and R. S. Glass, "Titanium Utilization in
Long Term Nuclear Waste Storage," Sandia National Lab Report, SAND81-2466
(1981).
13.
M. E Kaplan, "Characterization of Weathered Glass by Analyzing Ancient
Artifacts," in
Scientific Basis for Nuclear Waste, C.
J. M. Northrup (ed.) (Plenum,
New York, 1980).
14.
K. J. Schneider and A. M. Platt, "High Level Radioactive Waste Management
Alternatives," Battelle Northwest Laboratory Report BNWL-1900 (1974).
15.
B. L. Cohen, "Analysis, Critique, and Re-evaluation of High Level Waste
Repository Water Intrusion Scenario Studies,"
Nuclear Technology, 48, 63 (1980)
16. B. L. Cohen,
"Discounting in Assessment of Future Radiation Effects,"
Health
Physics, 45,
687
(1983).
17.
U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Civilian Radioactive Waste Management,
"What is Tuff?" (1988); "What Happens During Site
Characterization?" (1988); "Why Yucca Mountain?" (1988).
18. G. Russ, "Notes from Underground,"
Nuclear
Industry
(Spring
1989), p. 13.
19. B. L. Cohen,
"A Simple Probabilistic Risk Analysis for High Level Waste Repositories,"
Nuclear
Technology, 68,
73 (1985).
CHAPTER 12
1.
National Academy of Sciences Committee on Biological Effects of Ionizing
Radiation, "Health Risks of Radon" (BEIR-IV), 1988.
2. B.
L. Cohen, "Risk Analysis of Buried Wastes from Electricity
Generation,"
American Journal of Physics, 54, 38 (1986).
This is a review
article which gives references to the original papers.
3. Code of Federal Regulations, Title 10, Part 50. Appendix 1; U.S. Nuclear Regulatory
Commission, Regulatory Guides 1.109-1.113(1976). These specify expenditure of $1,000/man-rem.
Dividing this by the risk given in Chapter 5, 260 x l0-6 per man-rem, gives $4 million per cancer death averted.
4.
United Nations Scientific Committee on Effects of Atomic Radiation,
"Sources, Effects, and Risks of Ionizing Radiation," United Nations,
New York (1988).
5. Code of Federal Regulations, Title 10,
Part 61.
6. U.S. Energy Research and
Development Administration (ERDA), "Alternatives for Long Term Management
of Defense High-Level Radioactive Waste," Document ERDA-77-42/1 (1977).
7. L.
R. Brown, "World Food Resources and Population," Population Reference
Bureau (1981).
8. B.
L. Cohen, "The Situation at West Valley,"
Public Utilities
Fortnightly (September 27, 1979), p.26.
9.
Western New York Nuclear Service Center Study, U.S. Department of Energy Report
TID-28905-2 (1980).
10.
R. M. Jefferson and H. R. Yoshimura, "Crash Testing of Nuclear Fuel
Shipping Containers," Sandia National Lab Report SAND 77-1462 (1978).
11. Nuclear Regulatory
Commission, "Final Environmental Statement on the Transportation of
Radioactive Material by Air and other Modes," Document NUREG-1070 (1977).
12. R. P Sandoval and G. J.
Newton, "A Safety Assessment of Spent Fuel Transportation Through Urban
Regions," Sandia National Laboratory Report SAND 81-2147 (1981); R. E
Sandoval, "Safety Assessment of Spent Fuel Transport in an Extreme Environment,"
Nuclear and Chemical Waste
Management, 3,
5 (1982).
13. Z. A. Medvedev,
Ne"
Scientist, 72,
264 (1976);
72,
692 (1976);
74,
761 (1977);
76,
352 (1977).
14.
J. R. Trabalka, L. D. Eyman, and S. I. Auerbach, "Analysis of the 1957-58
Soviet Nuclear Accident,"
Science, 209,
345 (18 July 1980).
15.
D. M. Soran, and D. B. Stillman, "An Analysis of the Alleged Kyshtym Disaster,"
Los Alamos National Lab Report LA-9217-MS(1981).
16. International Atomic Energy Agency
Information Circular, "Report on a Radiological Accident in the Southern
Urals on 29 September 1957," INFCIRC/368 (28 July 1989).
CHAPTER 13
1. E
R. Best and M. J. Driscoll,
Transactions of the American Nuclear Society, 34,
380 (1980).
2. B.
L. Cohen, Breeder Reactors-A Renewable Energy Source,
American
Journal of Physics, 51,
75 (1983).
3. R. Avery and H. A. Bethe,
"Breeder Reactors: The Next Generation," in
Nuclear
Power: Both Sides,
M. Kaku and J. Trainer (eds.) (Norton, New York, 1982).
4. T. G. Ayers
et al.,LMFBR
Program Review, U.S. Energy Research and Development Administration (1978);
Report of the Task Forces to the LMFBR Review Steering Committee, Energy
Research and Development Administration (April 6, 1977).
5.
Joint Committee on Atomic Energy, Review of National Breeder Reactor Program
(January 1976).
6. R.
Wilson, "Report on the Safety of a Liquid Metal Fast Breeder
Reactor," Electric Power Research Institute (Palo Alto, CA, 1976).
7. J. B. Yasinsky (ed.),
"Position Papers on Major Issues Associated with the Liquid Metal Fast Breeder
Reactor," Westinghouse Electric Corporation (Madison, Pennsylvania) 1978.
8.
Milton R. Benjamin,
Washington Post
(July 20, 1982).
9. Atomic-Industrial Forum,
"Light Water Reactor Fuel Cycles-An Economic Comparison of the Recycle and
Throw-away Alternatives" (February 1981). This presents analyses by six
different groups.
10.
Robert Lesch, "World Reprocessing Facilities,"
Worldwide
Nuclear Power
(January
1982).
11.
Shelby T. Brewer, "Letter to Recipients of Worldwide Nuclear Power"
(dated March 4, 1982).
12.
W. Meyer, S. K. Loyalka, W. E. Nelson, and R. W. Williams, "The Homemade
Bomb Syndrome,"
Nuclear Safety, 18,
427 (1977).
13.
C. Starr and E. Zebroski, "Nuclear Power and Weapons Proliferation,"
American Power Conference (April 1977).
14. J. McPhee,
The Curve of Binding Energy
(Ballantine Books, New York,
1975).
15. U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, "Safeguarding
a Domestic Mixed Oxide Industry Against a Hypothetical Subnational
Threat," NUREG-0414 (May 1978).
16. U.S. Nuclear Regulatory
Commission, "Regulatory Guide 5.55; Standard Format and Content of
Safeguards Contingency Plans for Fuel Cycle Facilities' (1978); also
"Regulatory Guide 5.54: Standard Format and Content of Safeguards
Contingency Plans for Nuclear Power Plants" (1978).
17.
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, "Regulatory Guide 5.56: Standard Format
and Content of Safeguards Contingency Plans for Transportation" (1978).
18.
M. Willrich and T. B. Taylor,
Nuclear Theft: Risks and Safeguards
(Ballinger, Cambridge,
Massachusetts, 1974).
19. E
H. Schmidt and D. Bodansky,
The Energy Controversy: The Fight over Nuclear
Power-
(Albion
Press, San Francisco, 1976).
20. B. L. Cohen,
"Plutonium-How Great is the Terrorist Threat,"
Nuclear
Engineering International
(February 1977). The quote from Kinderman is given there.
It was taken from a book, but I cannot recall the name of the latter.
21.
U.S. Energy Research and Development Administration (ERDA) Safeguards Program,
Background Statement (March 10, 1975).
22.
R. Nader, speech at Lafayette College (Spring 1975).
23.
International Commission on Radiological Protection (1CRP), Task Group on Lung
Dynamics, "Deposition and Retention Models for Internal Dosimetry of the
Human Respiratory Tract" Health Physics 12, 173 (1966)
24. National Academy of
Sciences Committee on Biological Effects of Ionizing Radiation (BEIR),
"Effects on Populations of Exposure to Low Levels of Ionizing
Radiation" (1980).
25.
United Nations Scientific Committee on Effects of Atomic Radiation (UNSCEAR),
"Sources and Effects of Ionizing Radiation" (1977).
26.
B. L. Cohen, "Hazards from Plutonium Toxicity,"
Health
Physics, 32,
359
(1977).
27. The Medical Research
Council,
The Toxicity of Plutonium
(Her Majesty's Stationery Office, London, 1975); C. W.
Mays, "Discussion of Plutonium Toxicity," in R. G. Sachs (ed.),
National
Energy Issues-How Do We Decide
(Ballinger, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 1980).
28.
W. J. Bair, "Toxicity of Plutonium,"
Advances in Radiation Biology, Vol.
4, p. 225 (1974).
29.
J. H. Rothchild,
Tomorrow's Weapons
(McGraw-Hill, New York, 1964).
30. J. E Park, W. J. Bair, and R. H. Busch, "Progress
in Beagle Dog Studies with Transuranium Elements at Battelle-Northwest,"
Health
Physics, 22,
803
(1972).
31. A. R. Tamplin and T. B. Cochran, "Radiation
Standards for Hot Particles," Natural Resources Defense Council Report
(1974). Also, "Petition to Amend Radiation Protection Standards as They
Apply to Hot Particles," submitted to EPA and AEC (February 1974).
32. National Academy of
Sciences, "Health Effects of Alpha Emitting Particles in the Respiratory
Tract," Environmental Protection Agency Document EPA 520/4-76-013 (1976);
National Council on Radiation Protection and Measurements (NCRP), "Alpha
Emitting Particles in Lungs," NCRP Report No. 46 (1975); United Kingdom
National Radiological Protection Board, Report R-29 and Bulletin No. 8 (1974);
W J. Bair, C. R. Richmond, and B. W. Wachholz, "A Radiological Assessment
of the Spatial Distribution of Dose from Plutonium," U.S Atomic Energy
Commission Report WASH-1320 (1974); see also The Medical Research Council,
ref. 27.
33.
G. L. Voelz, "What We Have Learned About Plutonium from Human Data,"
Health
Physics, 29
(1975).
34. J. W. Gofman, "The
Cancer Hazard from Inhaled Plutonium," Committee for Nuclear Responsibility
Report CNR 1975-1, reprinted in Congressional RecordSenate 31, (July 1975), p.
14610.
35. R. W. Albert et al.,
Archives of Environmental Health, 18,738 (1969);
Archives
of'Environmental Health, 30,
361 (1975).
36. W J. Bair, "Review of
Reports by J. W. Gofman on Inhaled Plutonium," Battelle Northwest
Laboratory Report BNWL-2067; C. R. Richmond, "Review of John W. Gofman's
Report on Health Hazards from Inhaled Plutonium," Oak Ridge National
Laboratory Report ORNL-TM-5257 (1975); J. W. Healy
et al.,
"A Brief Review of the Plutonium Lung Cancer Estimates by John W. Gofman," Los Alamos Scientific Laboratory
Report LA-UR-75-1779 (1975); M. B. Snipes
et al.,
"Review of John Gofman's
Papers on Lung Cancer Hazard from Inhaled Plutonium," Lovelace Foundation
(Albuquerque, New Mexico) Report LF-51
UC-48 (1975); "Comments Prepared by D. Grahn,"
Argonne National Laboratory (1975).
37.
R. Nader,
Family Health
(January 1977), p. 53.
38. U.S. Atomic Energy
Commission, "Meteorology and Atomic Energy." p. 97ff (1968). This
gives the calculational procedures used in ref. 26.
39.
K. Stewart, in
The Resuspension of Particulate Material from
Surfaces,
B.
R. Fish (ed.), (Pergamon Press, New York, 1964); L. R. Anspaugh, P L. Phelps,
N. C. Kennedy, and H. C. Booth, Proceedings of the Conference on Environmental
Behavior of Radionuclides Released in the Nuclear Industry, International
Atomic Energy Agency (Vienna, 1975).
40. H. R. McLendon
et al.,
International Atomic Energy
Agency Document IAEASM-199/85, p. 347 (1976)-Savannah River Plant; R. C. Dahlman, E. A. Bondietti, and L. D. Eyman, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Environmental Sciences Division Publication 870 (1976)-Oak Ridge; E W. Wicker,
Colorado State University Report COO-1156-80 (1975)-Rocky Flats, Colorado; E.
M. Romney, A. Wallace, R. O. Gilbert, and J. E. Kinnear, International Atomic
Energy Agency Document IAEA-SM-199/73, p. 479 (1976) -Eniwetok.
41.
J. Gofman,
National Forum
(Summer, 1979).
42. B. L. Cohen, "Plutonium Containment,"
Health
Physics, 40,
76
(1981).
43. U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency,
Federal Register, 40,
23420 (1975).
44. U.S. Atomic
Energy Agency, "Plutonium and Other Transuranic Elements: Sources,
Environmental Distribution, and Biomedical Effects," Document WASH-1359
(1974).
45. J. R. Lamarsh,
Introduction
to Nuclear Engineering
(Addison-Wesley, Reading, Massachusetts, 1975).
46. International Commission
on Radiological Protection (ICRP),
Report of the Task Group on Reference Man,
ICRP Publication 23 (Pergamon
Press, New York, 1975).
47. International Commission on Radiological Protection
(ICRP),
Recommendations of ICRP,
ICRP Publication 26 (Pergamon Press, New York, 1977).
CHAPTER 14
1. B. L. Cohen, "Cost per
Million BTU of Solar Heat, Insulation, and Conventional Fuels,"
American
Journal of Physics, 52,
614 (1984).
2. R. H. Annan and J. L.
Stone, "The U.S. National Photovoltaics Program, Investing in
Success,"
Solar Cells, 26,
135 (1989).
3. Solar Energy Research
Institute,
Photovoltaics Technical Information Guide,
(Second Edition), p. 58 (1988).
4. U.S. Department of Energy,
Photovoltaic
Energy Program Summary
(1988).
5. U.S. Department of Energy,
Solar Thermal Energy Program
Surnntarv
(1988).
6. U.S. Department of Energy,
Wind
Energy Program Summary
(1988).
7. U.S. Department of Energy,
Energy
Storage and Distribution Program Summary (1988)